Start Of La Nina 2024. El niño weakened substantially over the past month, and we think a transition to neutral conditions is imminent. (map courtesy climate.gov) as seen on the map above, the opposite is true for the.
La niña is expected to emerge, with chances for la niña gradually increasing from 66% to 74% during the november 2024 to january 2025 timeframe. So far this summer, the climate models we use for guidance have been trending toward a weaker and delayed development of la niña than they.